Pasayten's Methow Valley Bulletin Board

Screw the polls. When this house of cards collapses a lot of people are going to be in a desperate position.

At this point all indications are that this market is being manipulated to make insiders more money at our expense and to prop up the political fortunes of you-know-who. So why should any of ...

This just gets dirtier:

https://www.wonderwall.com/news/top-trump-terror-official-exposed-for-seeking-out-older-men-website/


Julia Varvaro, 29, allegedly had a profile on Seeking.com, a site that is often used by young, attractive singles looking for older, wealthier partners to help fund their ...

ick

Apparently she was fired this morning or last night. Though apparently not by tweet.

From a practical standpoint, the huge scary issue here is that we have another example where total dingbats appear to be in charge of our security. And when we are in the process of losing a war against a ...

There is also the issue that we have thousands of people on the ground in Saudi, Iraq, and the Gulf States. Normally those folks are resupplied via ship into through the Persian Gulf. Which is closed at the moment.

We might be able to resupply those folks through Jeddah on the Red Sea, but that in ...

If you know anything about US Military history, that is mind-blowing. There is a whole system for getting food to ships underway and unless something has totally gone off the rails having food shortages on an aircraft carrier would be unheard of.

Hard to know what exactly happened until we know ...

Before this war started, Iran was a marginalized and weak regional power that was substantially contained. They posed zero direct threat to the Untied States. And there are a number of other countries that pose greater threats and we ought to have been focused on those countries.

Before this war ...

...
I would not say that is accurate but will say if someone, anyone is out to do harm to me or mine or try to destroy my way of life it's a simple matter of kill or be killed and I choose the first


There are some practical real-world problems with that approach to life. Let's just say that the ...

Given Israel's recent history of actively taking sides in our internal politics I think cutting them off is a reasonable move.

Fallout: Hyundai reports EV sales up 340 percent in March.

Donald Trump is going to go down in history as the greatest electric car salesman ever.

We also apparently lost an E-3. We only have sixteen of them, well now, fifteen. And we aren't supposed to lose them.

Pretty good day in Twisp, for sure.

It is very disturbing that there is so little information about The War getting back to us. Or at least it is all getting delayed. The destruction of KC-135 tankers by a missile attack which had the MAGA chuds all going crazy last week has now been confirmed by satellite imagery. That's probably ...

AI systems work best when you can rigorously specify what questions they are supposed to answer and what the right answers are. They fail spectacularly when they cannot do that.

We can't rigorously specify what these systems need to do to replace human workers on a massive scale. Everyone assumes ...

That's ten thousand more targets.

There was apparently a drone attack from someone in the southeast.

And I'd keep in mind that there have been no official casualty reports for almost two weeks. I doubt they are keeping it quiet because the news is good.

Good points but there is zero evidence that the current track AI is on is going to lead to massive job losses.

If you are optimistic and generous the current generation of AI tools can increase productivity by about twenty percent. In practice in the real world it is more like ten percent. That isn ...

This doesn't look like a great investment right now:

https://apnews.com/article/ai-data-cent ... 7ab4eb68ee

A 10Gw data center power by natural gas. What could possibly go wrong?

Rideback wrote: Wed Mar 25, 2026 12:03 pm And of course the farmers are facing major issues trying to resource fertilizer this season, not to mention labor.

That's what that 45-day cliff about two weeks from now is all about.

It seems pretty likely that futures markets are wildly underpricing where the price of a barrel of crude oil is going. I think $200 per barrel is possible (which translates to $10-$12 for a gallon of gasoline here).

There are also pretty clear cutoffs where things are going to get a lot worse. One ...

I'm thinking Article V is one way out of the ditch we've put ourselves into.

Or North Korea deciding right now is the best chance it will ever get against South Korea.

Honestly at this point China doesn't need to invade Taiwan to get everything it wants.

Again, we are being beaten like a rented mule.

As long as Iran can keep world petroleum prices elevated, they are winning. Doesn't really make any difference what we do in retaliation for that either.

They are winning because they can strangle our economy just by pushing petroleum prices up. And ...

The first year of the second Trump administration they spent a lot of time and effort undoing any efforts to get us away from fossil fuels. Including spending billions of dollars to pay companies to cancel large-scale projects.

Now that bill is coming due. With interest.

Any invasion there will accomplish nothing but getting a lot of good kids killed.

"When you kick over a hornet's nest, the hornets decide when it is over."

That's the whole idea. This is a way to "uncitizen" a whole lot of people who are politically inconvenient to their program.

Reality is at this point it is very unlikely to pass. Even if it did pass, I think many states would fight it very effectively and this would be another case of Trump picking ...